Diurnal variation forecast (3.5km horizontal resolution)

Dynamical downscaling of NCEP global ensemble forecast by WRF
⇒ Based on Fujita et al. (2011) and Fujita (2016)


MJO index forecast on 2017/12/19

The area-averaged (99E to 105E, 5S to 3S) diurnal variations of OLR in 3- and 10-day forecasts are shown in the right panel.





Downscaled diurnal variation of OLR and precipitation around the Sumatra Island


3-day forecast



10-day forecast